Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
236 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Valid 00Z Fri Apr 25 2025 - 00Z Sun Apr 27 2025
...An active weather pattern to continue across much of the CONUS
late this week and into the weekend...
...Widespread showers and thunderstorms expected from the Plains
into the East...
...Fire weather threat for portions of the Florida peninsula and
the Southern High Plains, with some relief to the New Jersey wild
fires possible Friday night into Saturday...
...Much below average temperatures expected across California into
the western Great Basin, much above average temperatures stretch
through the Rockies and from the Southern Plains into the East...
An active Spring weather pattern setting up for large portions of
the CONUS from the Plains, eastward into the East, while a strong
closed low moving in California brings late season rains and much
below average temperatures to California. An area of showers and
thunderstorms likely to affect much of the Plains into the Upper
Mississippi Valley Thursday night/early Friday, spreading east
into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid Atlantic and Northeast
Friday and Saturday. The rains that push into the East Friday
night into Saturday may bring some relief to the ongoing wild
fires over New Jersey, along with some relief to the ongoing
moderate to severe drought conditions from the Mid-Atlantic into
southern New England.
Storms that form over the Central to Southern Plains late Thursday
afternoon into Thursday night will have the potential to produce
severe weather from far southeast Colorado, across the
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle and into West Texas, with large hail the
greatest threat, and lesser chances of tornadoes and high winds.
This region of the country has been very active over the past week
with another round of showers and thunderstorms likely to develop
late Friday afternoon into Friday night into Saturday. This will
bring the threat of additional heavy rains, isolated flooding and
severe weather from far northeast New Mexico, across the
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle, eastward through central to eastern
Oklahoma and eastern Kansas.
While large portions of the Southern to Central Plains will be
active shower and thunderstorm wise over the next few days, dry
conditions will persist just to the south and west of this from
southeast Arizona across much of New Mexico. These dry
conditions, combined with gusty winds and low relative humidities
will continue to support an elevated fire weather threat over the
next few days. A fire weather threat will also continue across
portions of the Florida Peninsula and Mid-Atlantic from the same
combination of dry conditions and low relative humidities.
A strong mid to upper level low is expected to form Friday off the
Pacific Northwest/Northern California coasts, dropping
southeastward into Central California on Saturday. This strong
mid to upper level low will have the potential to produce some
late season rains across much of California, except for the
southeast portion of the state. In addition, some much below
average temperatures are likely to spread across California
beginning Friday and continuing into the weekend. High
temperatures are expected to be 10 to 15 degrees below average on
Friday across much of California, with these below average
temperatures increasing to 15 to 25 degrees below average on
Saturday, while also spreading eastward into the western Great
Basin. These much below average maximum afternoon temperatures
may also produce a few record low high temperatures for Southern
California on Saturday. In contrast to these much below average
temperatures, much above average temperatures on tap through all
of the Rockies Friday and Saturday, from the Southern Plains into
Middle to Lower Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and East on
Friday, and along the East coast to the Gulf coast on Saturday.
Eventually, cooler weather will push south and eastward across the
Central to Southern Plains Friday and Saturday, the Great Lakes
and Ohio Valley on Saturday and across the Mid-Atlantic into New
England by Sunday in the wake of a cold front forecast to push
southeastward across these areas.
Oravec
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
